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PyBATS package for Bayesian forecasting

less than 1 minute read

Published:

Isaac Lavine and Andrew Cron have developed an open-source Python package to implement Bayesian time series models including the DGLM and DLM. This package can be used to implement the dynamic count mixture model proposed in Berry and West (2019). If you have a project involving time series of counts, binary events, or continuous outcomes, then I highly recommend checking out PyBATS.

portfolio

publications

Line-of-sight pursuit in monotone and scallop Polygons

Published in International Journal of Computational Geometry & Applications, 2015

This paper was the result of a 2012 Math REU jointly run by Macalester College and the Institute for Mathematics and its Applications at the University of Minnesota.

Recommended citation: Berry, L., Beveridge, A., Butterfield, J., Isler, I., Keller, Z., Shine, A., Wang, J. "Line-of-site pursuit in monotone and scallop polygons." 2019. International Journal of Computational Geometry & Applications. 29(4): 307-351. https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0218195919500122

Probabilistic forecasting of heterogeneous consumer transaction-sales time series

Published in International Journal of Forecasting, 2020

This paper proposes the dynamic binary cascade model (DBCM) and an extension of the DCMM to forecast transaction-sales time series in consumer sales forecasting contexts.

Recommended citation: Berry, L.R., Helman, P., West, M. "Probabilistic forecasting of heterogeneous consumer transaction-sales time series." 2020. International Journal of Forecasting. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0169207019302055

Effect of Hydrocortisone on Mortality and Organ Support in Patients With Severe COVID-19: The REMAP-CAP COVID-19 Corticosteroid Domain Randomized Clinical Trial

Published in JAMA, 2020

The first results of the REMAP-CAP study reported in JAMA on corticosteroid use for COVID-19.

Recommended citation: The Writing Committee for the REMAP-CAP Investigators. Effect of Hydrocortisone on Mortality and Organ Support in Patients With Severe COVID-19: The REMAP-CAP COVID-19 Corticosteroid Domain Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA. 2020;324(13):1317–1329. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.17022 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2770278

talks

Savage Award Session

Published:

Invited session for the finalists of the Savage award. I presented an overview of my doctoral research on Bayesian modeling and forecasting of time series of counts.

teaching

Teaching experience 1

Undergraduate course, University 1, Department, 2014

This is a description of a teaching experience. You can use markdown like any other post.

Teaching experience 2

Workshop, University 1, Department, 2015

This is a description of a teaching experience. You can use markdown like any other post.